Posts Tagged ‘Ice Cream’

Why Projection Systems Suck (rant)

Projected to hit .400/.600/.800 by PECOTA

*Warning: If you’re not a follower of fangraphs, BPro, THT, etc, then this post is not for you.

Nothing annoys me more than people who can’t stop felating their proprietary projection system. This annoys me especially when that proprietary system has a terrible recent track record. To be fully clear, I’m not complaining about authors who use a projection as part of their piece. If I’m writing an article about Carlos Ruiz, it might be useful to say that despite public sentiment, a wide range of projection systems expect Ruiz to be slightly worse in ’10 than he was in ;09.  And then I’d go on to cite why I agree/disagree, harp on the importance of catcher defense, and speculate about Chooch’s favorite flavor of ice cream.  That’s fine. No, what I’m complaining about is when that projection IS the piece.

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