Archive for March 15th, 2010
Projections Are Curvier Than Vampire Kate Beckinsale

Finally, a movie about Kate Beckinsale wearing a vinyl suit! Wait, what? That's not the plot of Underworld?
This article is only about projections, not curvy women, Kate Beckinsale, or vampires. I thought I should make that perfectly clear so as not to let anyone down.
My original intro post (which I deleted because it sucked) had some definitions of basic concepts that are easily overlooked when people present advanced statistics. One of those is the purpose, intent, and interpretation of projection systems. For the purpose of this article, a projection system is any scientific attempt to estimate future performance using past statistics. Some commonly referenced systems include CHONE, Marcels, Oliver, ZiPS, and PECOTA.

